All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Circle City Classic |
Bishop Chatard Invitational |
Indiana Catholic Championship |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Indianapolis City |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/22 |
9/2 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
| Team Rating |
392 |
350 |
383 |
379 |
567 |
426 |
426 |
532 |
615 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
350 |
383 |
379 |
386 |
426 |
426 |
364 |
431 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Circle City Classic |
Bishop Chatard Invitational |
Indiana Catholic Championship |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Indianapolis City |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 2 |
Lily Cridge |
10 |
17:50 |
17:23 |
17:25 |
17:50 |
|
18:53 |
19:29 |
|
|
|
| 58 |
Emily Loiselle |
12 |
19:24 |
19:02 |
19:20 |
19:24 |
19:22 |
19:39 |
19:38 |
19:16 |
19:36 |
19:20 |
| 291 |
Mayan Stickel |
11 |
20:38 |
20:25 |
20:51 |
20:39 |
20:40 |
20:53 |
20:34 |
20:31 |
20:40 |
|
| 321 |
Alex Gantz |
11 |
20:46 |
21:00 |
20:51 |
20:38 |
20:35 |
20:47 |
20:42 |
20:31 |
21:16 |
|
| 746 |
Mallory Stewart |
11 |
21:58 |
|
21:36 |
22:01 |
22:39 |
21:50 |
21:53 |
|
|
|
| 768 |
Mara Foley |
11 |
22:01 |
21:59 |
22:08 |
21:56 |
22:02 |
21:48 |
22:05 |
21:59 |
22:13 |
|
| 772 |
Caroline Bell |
10 |
22:01 |
21:26 |
22:40 |
21:53 |
22:24 |
21:48 |
22:09 |
21:58 |
22:01 |
|
| 848 |
Deirdre Hostettler |
11 |
22:12 |
22:01 |
22:14 |
22:16 |
22:37 |
21:56 |
22:13 |
|
|
|
| 867 |
Anna Zyromski |
9 |
22:16 |
23:07 |
22:22 |
22:00 |
22:13 |
21:48 |
22:09 |
22:39 |
22:25 |
|
| 1,067 |
Maisie Mcmahon |
10 |
22:44 |
22:32 |
22:28 |
23:04 |
22:49 |
|
22:42 |
|
|
|
| 1,248 |
Alex Teed |
9 |
23:06 |
24:13 |
24:09 |
23:05 |
22:44 |
22:53 |
22:52 |
|
|
|
| 1,356 |
Ava Sanders |
9 |
23:20 |
|
23:49 |
23:32 |
|
|
22:53 |
|
|
|
| 1,425 |
Mary Bea Sowinski |
11 |
23:29 |
21:40 |
|
23:36 |
|
|
23:24 |
24:09 |
|
|
|
Morgan Engleman |
9 |
23:32 |
23:19 |
23:38 |
23:33 |
|
|
23:35 |
|
|
|
|
Madison Loiselle |
9 |
23:32 |
|
22:38 |
23:34 |
23:56 |
|
23:35 |
|
|
|
|
Elaine Nickerson |
12 |
23:41 |
21:56 |
22:40 |
24:01 |
23:43 |
|
24:52 |
|
|
|
|
Julia Knight |
12 |
24:07 |
|
23:26 |
23:47 |
|
|
29:37 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.7 |
88 |
0.5 |
40.0 |
48.6 |
9.0 |
1.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Cridge |
100% |
1.7 |
31.7 |
25.4 |
16.1 |
9.9 |
6.1 |
3.8 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Emily Loiselle |
17.3% |
46.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
17.3% |
17.3% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Cridge |
100% |
1.0 |
69.8 |
18.3 |
7.3 |
2.8 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Emily Loiselle |
99.6% |
25.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
99.6% |
99.6% |
| Mayan Stickel |
2.4% |
70.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.4% |
2.4% |
| Alex Gantz |
0.6% |
76.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.7% |
0.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Cridge |
100% |
1.0 |
70.7 |
17.8 |
6.8 |
3.0 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Emily Loiselle |
100% |
16.2 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
6.1 |
8.7 |
11.4 |
11.8 |
12.3 |
11.0 |
9.8 |
7.4 |
5.0 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Mayan Stickel |
100% |
43.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Alex Gantz |
100% |
47.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Mallory Stewart |
50.8% |
70.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50.8% |
50.8% |
| Mara Foley |
40.5% |
71.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40.5% |
40.5% |
| Caroline Bell |
38.4% |
71.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
38.4% |
38.4% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Cridge |
1.0 |
81.2 |
13.9 |
3.9 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emily Loiselle |
6.5 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.4 |
34.6 |
27.3 |
19.4 |
9.3 |
4.6 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mayan Stickel |
20.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
7.7 |
9.7 |
10.3 |
10.9 |
10.7 |
8.8 |
7.0 |
| Alex Gantz |
22.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
7.0 |
9.0 |
10.8 |
12.0 |
12.6 |
10.6 |
| Mallory Stewart |
37.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
| Mara Foley |
38.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Caroline Bell |
38.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
